Category Archives: Monetary Policy

Monetary Policy Of India And Economic Development

India, since liberalization in 1991, has depended on foreign institutional investment (FII) and foreign direct investment (FDI) to bulk up its foreign exchange reserves, even as it built its services exports sector that depends on outsourcing primarily from the United … Continue reading

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Will The Expected Faster Fed Rate Increases Drive The U.S. Economy Into A Recession?

US monetary policy appears to be transitioning from “very gradual” to “gradual” normalization. After raising the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) twice with a gap of one year between the two increases – one in December 2015 and another in December … Continue reading

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Monetary Policy Outlook For India

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) sprang another surprise on February 8, 2017. It left the key repo rate unchanged and, more importantly, changed the monetary policy stance to neutral from accommodative. The RBI has done two things: one, it … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Monetary Policy, South Asia: India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, Burma and Sri Lanka, Transformations LLC | Leave a comment

Expectation Of RBI Decision At The Sixth Bi-monthly Policy Meeting On February 8, 2017

Summary RBI could cut the repo rate – the rate at which the central bank of a country lends money to commercial banks in the event of any shortfall of funds – by 25 basis points to 6.00% at its … Continue reading

Posted in Monetary Policy, South Asia: India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, Burma and Sri Lanka, Transformations LLC | Leave a comment

The Effects Of Money Supply On The Economy

Does money supply affect real economic variables such as investment and output (real gross domestic product, GDP) or only the nominal variables such as prices and wages? The monetarists and the Keynesians have been at it since the publication of … Continue reading

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Why Both Growth And Inflation Target May Be Tricky To Achieve For India

The inflation target of India, instituted by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Indian government, is 4% consumer price index (CPI) change within a band of 2 – 6%. For the last quarter of the fiscal year 2016-2017 … Continue reading

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Fed Communication, Interest Rates And The U.S. Economy

By Chandrashekar (Chandra) Tamirisa, (On Twitter) @c_tamirisa Reactions are a mixed bag these days in the U.S. financial markets when they hear hawkish talk from the Federal Reserve. On the one hand, the markets do not like interest rates to … Continue reading

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Does Central Bank Credibility Depend On Causing Economic Growth?

By Chandrashekar (Chandra) Tamirisa, (On Twitter) @c_tamirisa Inflation targeting has become accepted monetary policy wisdom around the world. Under inflation targeting, interest rate policy of the central bank, both when an economy is growing and when it is slowing down, … Continue reading

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Expected March 2016 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Statement

By Chandrashekar (Chandra) Tamirisa, (On Twitter) @c_tamirisa Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace despite the global economic and financial developments of recent months. A … Continue reading

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Expected January 2016 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Statement

By Chandrashekar (Chandra) Tamirisa, (On Twitter) @c_tamirisa Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that the US economy is growing at a modest pace. The unemployment rate has declined to a level indicating an economy … Continue reading

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